Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.