Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
