Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.