Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gateshead has a probability of 31.06% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Gateshead win is 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
44.96% ( 0.19) | 23.97% ( -0.06) | 31.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.78% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( 0.23) | 42.33% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.26% ( 0.23) | 64.74% ( -0.23) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% ( 0.18) | 19.05% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( 0.29) | 50.63% ( -0.29) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( 0.04) | 61.23% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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