Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Southend United |
41.35% ( 0.03) | 25.49% ( -0.01) | 33.16% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.58% ( 0.03) | 48.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% ( 0.02) | 70.56% ( -0.02) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.03) | 23.25% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.04) | 57.17% ( -0.04) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( -0) | 27.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% ( -0.01) | 63.41% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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