Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
38.57% ( -0.25) | 26.34% ( -0.04) | 35.09% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% ( 0.22) | 51.7% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( 0.19) | 73.47% ( -0.19) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% ( -0.04) | 26.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% ( -0.05) | 61.27% ( 0.05) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( 0.29) | 28.21% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( 0.36) | 63.9% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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