Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.