Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
63.19% ( 0.01) | 20.61% ( -0.13) | 16.2% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% ( 0.78) | 43.41% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% ( 0.76) | 65.8% ( -0.77) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( 0.24) | 13.1% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.27% ( 0.5) | 39.73% ( -0.5) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% ( 0.63) | 39.88% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% ( 0.57) | 76.54% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
> National League Full Table |