Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.