Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.