Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.