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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Inter logo

Spezia
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Maldini (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)
Gyasi (6'), Caldara (12'), Nikolaou (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Inter Milan

While they have had challenges on the road of late, Inter have had almost a week to prepare for the visit to Spezia and have time to recover for next week's Champions League clash, thus allowing Inzaghi's team to go full throttle in both fixtures. The Aquilotti are still unbeaten under Semplici, but they are unlikely to be a match for the Nerazzurri on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
12.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 16.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 70.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)34.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.6% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.29% (0.02000000000001 0.02)29.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 12.41%
    Inter Milan 70.72%
    Draw 16.87%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.41%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.43%
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.87%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
8.8%
Draw
10.8%
Inter Milan
80.4%
148
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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