Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
35.42% | 25.43% | 39.15% |
Both teams to score 56.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% | 47.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% | 69.92% |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% | 26.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% | 61.18% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% | 24.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Score Analysis |
Venezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |