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SPAL logo
Serie B | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Lecce logo

SPAL
1 - 0
Lecce

Espeto (79')
Tomovic (40'), Valoti (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coda (47'), Lucioni (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawLecce
38.13%23.81%38.06%
Both teams to score 62.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1%39.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74%62.26%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07%53.93%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02%53.98%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 38.13%
    Lecce 38.06%
    Draw 23.81%
SPALDrawLecce
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 24
Lecce
2-1
SPAL
Mancosu (41' pen.), Majer (66')
Majer (16'), Deiola (43'), Calderoni (45'), Lapadula (62')
Petagna (47')
Di Francesco (20'), Bonifazi (40'), Valdifiori (61'), Valoti (90')
Dec 4, 2019 5pm
Fourth Round
SPAL
5-1
Lecce
Julio (18'), Paloschi (24'), Murgia (31'), Cionek (45'), Floccari (84')
Missiroli (8'), Murgia (28')
Imbula (55')
Imbula (49')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
SPAL
1-3
Lecce
Di Francesco (17')
Julio (70')
Mancosu (11' pen., 73'), Calderoni (47')
Babacar (6'), Calderoni (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo1494129121731
2SpeziaSpezia148602281430
3Pisa1493225121330
4Cesena146442319422
5Cremonese146351917221
6BariBari144821813520
7Brescia145361820-218
8Juve StabiaJuve Stabia144641316-318
9Palermo134541311217
10Mantova144551417-317
11CatanzaroCatanzaro1421021513216
12Carrarese144461215-316
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza144731414015
14Modena143651920-115
15Sampdoria134361618-215
16Reggiana143651416-215
17SudtirolSudtirol144191423-913
18Salernitana143471322-913
19Cittadella14338822-1412
20FrosinoneFrosinone14176819-1110


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