Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.