We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 0-1 Pendikspor
In a battle between two sides destined to be in a relegation battle, fine margins are likely to be decisive, and Basaksehir's inability to find the net with regularity could be costly.
Pendikspor come into the game on the back of two straight away wins as well as three victories in their last four, and they may be able to nick the three points again against an out-of-sorts Basaksehir side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Pendikspor had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Pendikspor win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.