Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.