Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.