MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:06:08| >> :60:564:564:
European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Inver Park

Ukraine U19s
3 - 2
Italy U19s

Synchuk (7'), Krevsun (54'), Ponomarenko (74' pen.)
Vashchenko (33'), Ponomarenko (42'), Mykhavko (49'), Matkevych (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ebone (34'), Romano (52')
Corradi (31')
Corradi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Ukraine Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Norway U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

We said: Ukraine Under-19s 1-1 Italy Under-19s

Ukraine should finally get off the mark with a goal, as impressive Italy may be distracted by their upcoming semi-final. However, that might not be quite enough to go through: a low-scoring draw would leave the Ukrainians needing Norway to draw with Northern Ireland in the other Group A game, which will be played concurrently over in Belfast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
19.04% (-6.198 -6.2) 21.29% (-1.642 -1.64) 59.66% (7.829 7.83)
Both teams to score 55.72% (-3.136 -3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)41.61% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)64.01% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Ukraine Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-5.68 -5.68)35.52% (5.667 5.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-6.356 -6.36)72.28% (6.344 6.34)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (2.516 2.52)13.58% (-2.529 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (4.818 4.82)40.69% (-4.83 -4.83)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-19s 19.04%
    Italy Under-19s 59.66%
    Draw 21.29%
Ukraine Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
2-1 @ 5.16% (-1.257 -1.26)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 2.58% (-0.93 -0.93)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.806 -0.81)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.584 -0.58)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 19.04%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.643 -0.64)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.707 -0.71)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.261 0.26)
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.851 0.85)
0-2 @ 9.61% (1.599 1.6)
1-3 @ 6.62% (0.726 0.73)
0-3 @ 6.4% (1.521 1.52)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-4 @ 3.31% (0.615 0.62)
0-4 @ 3.19% (0.967 0.97)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.083 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.337 0.34)
0-5 @ 1.28% (0.463 0.46)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 59.66%

How you voted: Ukraine U19s vs Italy U19s

Ukraine Under-19s
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Italy Under-19s
62.5%
8
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