Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
