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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 6
Briton Ferry

Evans (41')
Davies (36'), Bradford (67'), Jones (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bowen (11', 54'), Walters (29', 49'), Gammond (90+2' pen.), Payne (90+3')
Gammond (45+1'), Dyer (56'), George (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Aberystwyth
Wednesday, January 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBriton Ferry
37.92% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 38.24% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.047000000000004 0.05)62.42% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (0.040000000000006 0.04)21.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (0.064 0.06)53.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 37.92%
    Briton Ferry 38.24%
    Draw 23.84%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Briton Ferry
4-0
Aberystwyth
Bowen (21'), Walters (42'), Demery (88', 90+3')

Mason (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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