Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 0Crusaders
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Caernarfon Town and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 18 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 18 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Coleraine
Monday, May 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Monday, May 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Crusaders |
24.35% (![]() | 21.51% (![]() | 54.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.33% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.26% (![]() | 57.73% (![]() |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% (![]() | 27.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.17% (![]() | 62.83% (![]() |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% (![]() | 13.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% (![]() | 40.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 24.35%
Crusaders 54.14%
Draw 21.51%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Crusaders |
2-1 @ 6.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 9.6% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.14% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-08 01:21:06
6pm
Titans
@
Bears
6pm
Patriots
@
Bengals
6pm
Cardinals
@
Bills
6pm
Texans
@
Colts
6pm
Jags
@
Dolphins
6pm
Steelers
@
Falcons
6pm
Vikings
@
Giants
6pm
Panthers
@
Saints
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Chargers
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
Cowboys
@
Browns
9.25pm
Washington
@
Buccaneers
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
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