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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
4 - 1
Bayern Munich

Kirby (11', 90+5'), So-yun (43'), Mosegaard-Harder (84')
Carter (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zadrazil (29')
Magull (42'), Simon (74'), Beerensteyn (83')

The Match

Match Report

Emma Hayes' side will play Barcelona in Gothenburg in two weeks' time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.65%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
41.32%21.43%37.24%
Both teams to score 71.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.21%27.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.52%48.48%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39%14.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3%42.7%
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 41.32%
    Bayern Munich Women 37.24%
    Draw 21.44%
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.65%
1-0 @ 4.55%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-3 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 7.25%
3-3 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 2.01%
3-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 4pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Bayern Munich
2-1
Chelsea Women
Lohmann (12'), Glas (56')
Zadrazil (22')
Leupolz (23')
Mosegaard-Harder (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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