Aston Villa2 - 3Man Utd Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Women's Super League
for
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Aston Villa Women 1-2 Manchester United Women
Man United may have to win their last four league games to stand any chance of winning the WSL, and we think that they will continue their title push by claiming an away victory over an Aston Villa side that are winless in three competitive games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 7.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.01%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
7.64% ( -0.02) | 16% ( -0.01) | 76.36% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 39.3% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.04) | 45.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.04) | 67.63% ( 0.04) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.7% ( -0.09) | 56.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.36% ( -0.05) | 88.64% ( 0.05) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.93% ( -0) | 10.07% ( 0) |