World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Argentina1 - 0Peru
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in their 2026 World Cup qualification fixture with Peru on Tuesday night.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Argentina
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Peru's lack of goals in the section is a real concern, and we just cannot see the visitors damaging Argentina here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Tuesday night, but the World Cup holders will be determined to bounce back, and we are backing them to emerge victorious with a routine two-goal success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.43%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
84.47% ( -0.07) | 11.12% ( 0.01) | 4.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.07% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% ( 0.23) | 36.24% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% ( 0.24) | 58.36% ( -0.25) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.81% ( 0.03) | 6.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( -0.09) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.52% ( 0.38) | 60.48% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.11% ( 0.19) | 90.89% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Argentina 84.45%
Peru 4.41%
Draw 11.12%
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
| 2-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 84.45% | 1-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 11.12% | 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 4.41% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Peru
Argentina
88.0%Draw
6.0%Peru
6.0%117
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 3am
Oct 15, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Peru
Nov 18, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
0-2
Argentina
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
0-0
Peru
Form Guide
Build-up
Argentina vs. Peru: Predicted XI for World Cup holders in key qualification fixture
Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in their 2026 World Cup qualification fixture with Peru on Tuesday night.
128 days ago
Argentina vs. Peru: Lionel Messi's career record against La Blanquirroja
Sports Mole looks at Argentina forward Lionel Messi's record against Peru.
128 days ago
