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World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Chile national football team

Peru
vs.
Chile

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We say: Peru 2-0 Chile

 Despite sitting six points off the top seven, Peru have shown promising signs at home, taking four points off Colombia and Uruguay recently, and against a Chile side in disarray, they will hope they can take advantage to claim a vital three points which could bring them back into contention. One positive Chile can take into this encounter is that their solitary win so far in the campaign came against Peru last year, but even their most ardent fans will know that is simply clutching at straws, and a sixth straight defeat looks likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peru win with a probability of 39.21%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Chile has a probability of 30.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Chile win it is 0-1 (12.28%).

Result
PeruDrawChile
39.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 30.56%30.23%
Both teams to score 40.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.72%67.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.55%85.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19%39.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53%76.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peru 39.2%
    Chile 30.23%
    Draw 30.56%
PeruDrawChile
1-0 @ 14.58%
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.34%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 13.34%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.56%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 30.23%

Who will win Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Chile?

Peru
Draw
Chile
Peru
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Chile
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Peru
0-0
Chile
Zambrano (18')
Pulgar (22'), Davila (47'), Sanchez (79')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Peru
Valdes (74'), Nunez (90+1')
Brereton Diaz (49'), Pulgar (76')

Guerrero (32'), Lopez (46')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 2am
Group Stage
Peru
2-0
Chile
> Preview
Nov 13, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Peru
Vidal (20', 35')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Chile
0-3
Peru
> Match Report
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