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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Bolivia national football team

Argentina
6 - 0
Bolivia

Messi (19', 84', 86'), Martinez (43'), Alvarez (45+3'), Almada (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Algaranaz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifier at home to Bolivia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Argentina
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Argentina 2-0 Bolivia

 Bolivia were the only nation to get six points in September's window in CONMEBOL, but it is very unlikely they will do the same here, considering they have only ever taken one point in 11 previous trips to Argentina. An Argentina win is almost guaranteed, but a thrashing is not, as Bolivia have proven themselves to be very tricky opponents under Villegas, even if they are set to come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 80.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.95%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawBolivia
80.67% (0.51000000000001 0.51) 13.09% (-0.335 -0.33) 6.23% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 42.13% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93% (0.895 0.9)37.07% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.73% (0.961 0.96)59.26% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.86% (0.29799999999999 0.3)7.14% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.02% (0.79000000000001 0.79)25.98% (-0.794 -0.79)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.37% (0.094999999999999 0.09)54.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.34% (0.055 0.05)87.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 80.66%
    Bolivia 6.23%
    Draw 13.09%
ArgentinaDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 13.58% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 11.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 7.89% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.77% (0.109 0.11)
5-0 @ 4.17% (0.147 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.83% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.037 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.11% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 80.66%
1-1 @ 6.22% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.09%
0-1 @ 2.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 1.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.23%

How you voted: Argentina vs Bolivia

Argentina
83.2%
Draw
8.0%
Bolivia
8.8%
113
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-3
Argentina

Fernandez (15'), Villamil (24'), Quinteros (69'), Algaranaz (86')
Fernandez (39')
Fernandez (31'), Tagliafico (42'), Gonzalez (83')
> Match Report
Sep 10, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
3-0
Bolivia
> Preview
Jun 29, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-4
Argentina
> Preview
Oct 13, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-2
Argentina
Moreno (24')
Valverde (38'), Maria Carrasco (59'), Torres (90+4')
Martinez (45'), Correa (79')
Tagliafico (16'), Dominguez (90'), Alejandro Palacios (90+1')
Mar 28, 2017 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-0
Argentina
Arce (31'), Moreno (52')
rhs 2.0
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