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World Cup
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Argentina national football team

Colombia
2 - 1
Argentina

Mosquera (25'), Rodriguez (60' pen.)
Duran (79'), Vargas (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (48')
Montiel (21'), Romero (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier away to Colombia in Barranquilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Colombia
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Chile
Friday, September 6 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Colombia 1-1 Argentina

 It is usually close between these two nations, with extra time needed in the recent Copa final, and penalties in the 2021 edition, while they drew 2-2 in their last meeting on Colombian soil. Colombia have only won one of the last 13 meetings though with many ending in stalemates, and Argentina's strong away form suggests another draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawArgentina
25.78% (-1.927 -1.93) 25.44% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 48.78% (1.916 1.92)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-1.575 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (-1.316 -1.32)51.86% (1.313 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (-1.151 -1.15)73.62% (1.149 1.15)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (-2.252 -2.25)34.94% (2.25 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (-2.442 -2.44)71.68% (2.439 2.44)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.29599999999999 0.3)21.27% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.459 0.46)54.2% (-0.461 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 25.78%
    Argentina 48.78%
    Draw 25.43%
ColombiaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 25.78%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.381 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.263 -0.26)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.69 0.69)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.9% (0.608 0.61)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.352 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.151 0.15)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.78%

How you voted: Colombia vs Argentina

Colombia
29.6%
Draw
17.9%
Argentina
52.5%
179
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2024 2.15am
Final
Argentina
1-0
Colombia
Martinez (112')
Mac Allister (61'), Lo Celso (118')

Cordoba (27'), Borja (115')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 11.30pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Colombia
Martinez (29')
Acuna (44'), Montiel (58')

Suarez Charris (77'), Sanchez (90')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2021 2am
Semi-Finals
Argentina
1-1
Colombia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Argentina win 3-2 on penalties)
Martinez (7')
Lo Celso (21'), Montiel (72'), Rodriguez (87'), Pezzella (90+1')
Diaz (61')
Cuadrado (45+4'), Fabra (55'), Borja (63'), Munoz (75'), Cardona (86'), Barrios (88')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
2-2
Argentina
Muriel (51' pen.), Borja (90+4')
Mina (34'), Zapata (45+3'), Medina (47'), Tesillo (57'), Borja (90+1')
Romero (3'), Paredes (8')
Romero (45+9'), Otamendi (49'), Paredes (62'), Pezzella (79')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2019 11pm
Group Stage
Argentina
0-2
Colombia
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