World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Bolivia1 - 0Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Bolivia 1-3 Colombia
If Colombia can get to grips with the altitude at El Alto, then they undoubtedly have the quality to see off this Bolivia side, and keep the pressure on Argentina at the top of the standings. After a surprise three points on the road last month, Bolivia will be seeking a fourth win in five qualifiers, but Colombia are yet to lose in regular time under Lorenzo, and even with their significant home advantage, it looks an unlikely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Colombia |
27.08% ( -0.46) | 28.71% ( 0.28) | 44.21% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
