MX23RW : Thursday, March 20 06:34:18| >> :120:16421:16421:
Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Colombia national football team

Brazil
vs.
Colombia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Brazil and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for their World Cup qualifier at home to Colombia on Thursday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127
All competitions
Last Game: Colombia 0-1 Ecuador
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

We say: Brazil 2-1 Colombia

Going to Brazil used to be the most daunting trip in international football, but the Selecao have taken just 11 points from their six home games so far, and that will give Colombia much hope heading into this one. The hosts have improved slightly of late though, taking eight points from their last four games, and with a full-strength side available to Dorival, they should just get over the line here against a Colombia side that has struggled of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (7.05%).

Result
BrazilDrawColombia
55.97% (0.901 0.9) 24.56% (-0.237 -0.24) 19.46% (-0.668 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.29% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.54% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.081 0.08)75.88% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.38799999999999 0.39)19.4% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.63699999999999 0.64)51.21% (-0.641 -0.64)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (-0.681 -0.68)42.57% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (-0.589 -0.59)78.92% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 55.96%
    Colombia 19.46%
    Draw 24.56%
BrazilDrawColombia
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.46%

Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Colombia?

Brazil
Draw
Colombia
Brazil
69.7%
Draw
7.6%
Colombia
22.7%
66
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-1
Colombia
Raphinha (12')
Junior (7'), Gomes (27'), Guimaraes (73')
Munoz (45+2')
Machado (25'), Lerma (27')
Nov 17, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
2-1
Brazil
Diaz (75', 79')
Sanchez (20')
Martinelli (4')
Diniz (21'), Lodi (78'), Pepe (90'), (90')
Nov 12, 2021 12.30am
Oct 10, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Brazil
Lerma (48'), Borre (63')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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