MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:58:50| >> :600:2273987:2273987:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Chile national football team

Colombia
4 - 0
Chile

Sanchez (34'), Diaz (52'), Duran (82'), Sinisterra (90+3')
Cordoba (37'), Mojica (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapia (65'), Pulgar (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Colombia 2-0 Chile

 After a treacherous trip to Bolivia, Colombia will be glad of the home comforts in Barranquilla and should bounce back to maintain their spot in the top two. Slipping to the foot of the standings will demoralise Chile even more after what was already a gut-wrenching defeat late on against Brazil, and they are set to struggle again against one of South America's finest outfits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawChile
55.29% (-0.118 -0.12) 25.85% (0.116 0.12) 18.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.03% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.3% (-0.393 -0.39)59.69% (0.385 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.99% (-0.303 -0.3)80% (0.295 0.3)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (-0.214 -0.21)21.73% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (-0.322 -0.32)54.9% (0.316 0.32)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (-0.239 -0.24)46.3% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (-0.186 -0.19)81.95% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 55.28%
    Chile 18.86%
    Draw 25.85%
ColombiaDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.35% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.28%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.86%

How you voted: Colombia vs Chile

Colombia
86.2%
Draw
8.0%
Chile
5.8%
138
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Chile
0-0
Colombia
Catalan (39')
Arias (41'), Carrascal (48'), Diaz (54'), Machado (64'), Duran (90')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
3-1
Chile
Borja (19' pen., 20'), Diaz (74')
Quintero (66')
Meneses (56')
Vidal (30'), Pulgar (68'), Diaz (85')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Chile
2-2
Colombia
Vidal (37' pen.), Sanchez (41')
Lerma (6'), Falcao (90+1')
Oct 12, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Colombia
0-0
Chile
Cuadrado (50')
Parot (43'), Vidal (73'), Isla (79'), Rubio (83')
Jun 29, 2019 12.20am
Quarter-Finals
Colombia
0-0
Chile
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!