After a treacherous trip to Bolivia, Colombia will be glad of the home comforts in Barranquilla and should bounce back to maintain their spot in the top two.
Slipping to the foot of the standings will demoralise Chile even more after what was already a gut-wrenching defeat late on against Brazil, and they are set to struggle again against one of South America's finest outfits.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.12) 
