Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scotland in this match.