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Scotland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
Hampden Park
Israel national football team

Scotland
3 - 2
Israel

McGinn (30'), Dykes (57'), McTominay (90+4')
McGinn (49'), Robertson (55'), Gilmour (81'), Patterson (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zahavi (5'), Dabour (32')
Natcho (44'), Zahavi (56'), Bitton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Scotland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawIsrael
51.82%22.89%25.28%
Both teams to score 59.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68%41.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28%63.71%
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97%16.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62%45.37%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3%29.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25%65.75%
Score Analysis
    Scotland 51.82%
    Israel 25.28%
    Draw 22.89%
ScotlandDrawIsrael
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.28%

How you voted: Scotland vs Israel

Scotland
66.5%
Draw
17.7%
Israel
15.8%
158
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Israel
1-1
Scotland
Peretz (44')
Peretz (81')
Fraser (56')
Hendry (28')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Israel
1-0
Scotland
Solomon (44')
Abu Fani (87'), Marciano (90+4'), Dgani (90+5')

Jack (85')
Oct 8, 2020 7.45pm
Playoff Semi-Finals Route C
Scotland
0-0
Israel
Scotland win 5-3 on penalties
McGinn (58'), Fraser (105+2'), Paterson (120')
Natcho (13'), Bitton (56'), Weissman (88')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Scotland
1-1
Israel
Christie (45' pen.)
Forrest (34')
Zahavi (73')
Peretz (28')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Scotland
3-2
Israel
Forrest (34', 43', 64')
McGregor (40'), Phillips (89')
Kayal (9'), Zahavi (75')
Taha (52'), Peretz (70'), Ben Harush (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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