World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Serbia3 - 1Azerbaijan
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 55.24% | 25.41% | 19.35% |
| Both teams to score 43.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
