Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.