Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory1 - 0Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-0 Victory
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
56.65% ( 0.72) | 22% ( -0.06) | 21.34% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.58) | 41.6% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( -0.59) | 64% ( 0.59) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( 0.04) | 14.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.48% ( 0.07) | 42.52% ( -0.07) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.94) | 33.23% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.16% ( -1.05) | 69.83% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 56.65%
Wellington Phoenix 21.34%
Draw 22%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.34% |
How you voted: Victory vs Wellington
Melbourne Victory
60.0%Draw
40.0%Wellington Phoenix
0.0%5
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 2.30am
May 18, 2024 7.30am
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (90+9')
Salas (90+1')
Salas (90+1')
May 12, 2024 7am
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Form Guide
