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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Johor Darul

Mateus (4' pen.), Abe (28')
Yonemoto (36'), Miyahara (38'), Abe (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saifullah (42')
Bakri (12'), Ahmad (77'), Mauricio (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nagoya Grampus and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
52.8%20.78%26.42%
Both teams to score 68.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82%51.17%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22%11.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04%36.95%
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16%22.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44%56.55%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 52.8%
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 26.42%
    Draw 20.78%
Nagoya GrampusDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 6.15%
1-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.39%
4-1 @ 3.47%
4-2 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 1.48%
4-3 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 2.69%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.22%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.42%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Johor Darul
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Rasid (17'), Mauricio (44'), Bergson (64'), Corbin-Ong (70')
Abe (60')
Inagaki (29'), Yonemoto (40'), Ficcadenti (43'), Yamasaki (66')
rhs 2.0
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