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Libya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
11 June Stadium
Nigeria national football team

Libya
P-P
Nigeria

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Libya 0-2 Nigeria

Nigeria have enjoyed a solid start to the AFCON qualifiers and will fancy their chances against Libya who have lost each of their previous five encounters. The Super Eagles are soaring under Eguavoen and given the gulf in quality and class between the two nations, we are tipping them to secure all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (9.21%).

Result
LibyaDrawNigeria
20.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 28.22% (0.004999999999999 0) 51.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 38.88% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)65.18% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.98% (-0.026 -0.03)84.02% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.55% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)47.45% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.18% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)82.82% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)61.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Libya 20.71%
    Nigeria 51.06%
    Draw 28.21%
LibyaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 4.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 20.71%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 12.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 16.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 51.06%

How you voted: Libya vs Nigeria

Libya
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Nigeria
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
1-0
Libya

Almusrat (45+1'), Al Woheshi (58')
Jan 19, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Libya
0-1
Nigeria

Al Maghasi (32'), Msoud (90')
Faleye (79')
Orji (30'), Solomon (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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