MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 22:59:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Patronato

Defensa
2 - 1
Patronato

Alanis (34'), Otormin (80')
Lopez (22'), Unsain (45+6'), Soto (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Herrera (45+4')
Rodriguez (7'), Guasone (55'), Nahuel Banega (66'), Giani (75')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Patronato.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-2 Defensa
Tuesday, September 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, September 20 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPatronato
47.15% (0.251 0.25) 27.22% (0.271 0.27) 25.63% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-1.147 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42% (-1.273 -1.27)58.58% (1.273 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86% (-1.003 -1)79.15% (1.003 1)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)24.89% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.622 -0.62)59.51% (0.622 0.62)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (-1.161 -1.16)38.75% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52% (-1.117 -1.12)75.49% (1.119 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 47.14%
    Patronato 25.64%
    Draw 27.22%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.41% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.65% (0.456 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 8pm
Defensa
1-0
Patronato
Frias (55' pen.)
Gutierrez (43'), Bou (50')

Nahuel Banega (13'), Mosevich (54'), Quintana (65'), Valdez (90+2')
Oct 19, 2021 11pm
Patronato
3-3
Defensa
Ibanez (21' pen.), Arias (36'), Unsain (90+2' og.)
Magallanes (61'), Benitez (90+5')
Pizzini (32'), Tripichio (45+1'), Rotondi (65')
Frias (42'), (90')
Feb 26, 2021 10.15pm
Defensa
1-0
Patronato
Romero (75')
Paredes (16'), Breitenbruch (39'), Frias (48'), Benitez (80')

Gissi (82')
Dec 27, 2020 8.10pm
Zone Two
Defensa
2-1
Patronato
Leguizamon (10', 17')
Gallardo (90+2')
Pastorelli (28')
Miloc (82')
Mar 7, 2020 9pm
Defensa
2-0
Patronato
Marquez (65' pen.), Martinez (73')
Cerro (55'), Cardozo (87'), Martinez (90')

Miloc (45+2'), Urribarri (64')
Torres (72')
rhs 2.0
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