Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 1Patronato
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Patronato |
47.15% ( 0.25) | 27.22% ( 0.27) | 25.63% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
