Botafogo

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.