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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
42.07% | 24.2% | 33.72% |
Both teams to score 60.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% | 64.81% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% | 20.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% | 52.72% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% | 24.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% | 59.08% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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