MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 18:56:26| >> :120:61940:61940:
Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Dortmund

Goncalves (30', 39'), Porro (81')
Palhinha (55'), Coates (57'), Paulinho (74'), Nunes (74'), Porro (74'), Adan (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Malen (90+3')
Reus (74'), Zagadou (74'), Rose (79')
Can (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

With Sporting needing to win by at least two goals to advance to the knockout rounds, the hosts are expected to pose an attacking threat throughout the 90 minutes, which could cause problems for Dortmund's depleted side. The visitors, meanwhile, may take a more cautious approach to Wednesday's clash as a draw would still keep their last-16 hopes in their own hands heading into the final Group C match next month. With little to separate these two sides, a score draw could be on the cards at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 3-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBorussia Dortmund
49.99%20.27%29.74%
Both teams to score 73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.34%44.66%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.24%10.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.25%34.75%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8%18.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8%49.2%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 49.99%
    Borussia Dortmund 29.74%
    Draw 20.27%
Sporting LisbonDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-2 @ 5.25%
2-0 @ 4.87%
1-0 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.43%
4-2 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-3 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 7.06%
3-3 @ 2.98%
0-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 6.34%
2-3 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-1 @ 3.34%
0-2 @ 2.84%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.53%
3-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Dortmund

Sporting Lisbon
42.1%
Draw
23.1%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
321
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Malen (37')
Bellingham (42'), Hummels (59')

Nunes (42'), Neto (90')
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Dortmund
Cesar (67')
Elias (54'), Schelotto (68'), Campbell (76'), Cesar (86')
Aubameyang (10'), Weigl (43')
Passlack (48'), Rode (76'), Burki (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
8Aston Villa2110563132-135
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!