MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:28:08| >> :600:110307:110307:
Milan logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan
3 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Giroud (45' pen.), Saelemaekers (47'), Pobega (77')
Pioli (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orsic (56')
Orsic (74'), Marin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb

As Rafael Leao may feel he has a point to prove before his domestic suspension kicks in for Sunday's clash with Napoli, the talented winger may play an integral role in getting Milan off the mark in Group E. Victory will not come easily, though, as Dinamo possess several players of the calibre and European experience to score at least once and push the home side close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawDinamo Zagreb
56.66% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 21.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 22.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.159 -0.16)37.23% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56% (-0.171 -0.17)59.44% (0.172 0.17)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.06% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.64% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)30.1% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.208 -0.21)66.24% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.66%
    Dinamo Zagreb 22.07%
    Draw 21.27%
AC MilanDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan
74.0%
Draw
11.5%
Dinamo Zagreb
14.5%
442
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!