Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.