Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.