Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.