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West Ham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Jul 1, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
London Stadium
Chelsea logo

West Ham
3 - 2
Chelsea

Soucek (45+2'), Antonio (51'), Yarmolenko (89')
Lanzini (65'), Rice (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Willian (42' pen., 72')
Willian (82')

Preview: West Ham United vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League London derby between relegation-threatened West Ham United and top-four hopefuls Chelsea, including predictions and team news.

Chelsea make the trip from West to East London to take on West Ham United in a capital derby of huge significance at both ends of the table on Wednesday night.

The visitors have returned from lockdown in winning form, whereas the Hammers have lost two from two so far to plunge their Premier League survival hopes into even greater doubt.


Match preview

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on June 28, 2020© Reuters

Frank Lampard will certainly not relish the chance to nudge his boyhood club that bit closer to relegation on Wednesday, but he showed just how demanding he is of his Chelsea players at the weekend.

The club-record goalscorer pulled no punches in his assessment of his side's performance against Leicester City, despite Chelsea making it through to the semi-finals of the FA Cup for a 10th time since the turn of the century.

Lampard made three half-time subs and admitted that he wanted to make more, and so he will be demanding another response from his players despite them heading across London on a five-match winning run across all competitions.

Part of the manager's thinking may have been to ensure that there was no drop-off in performance levels after last Thursday's 2-1 victory over Manchester City - a result which saw Pep Guardiola's side surrender the title to Liverpool.

While the celebrations in West London after that result were nothing compared to those on Merseyside, the importance of the win over City for Chelsea should not be overshadowed by the fact that it had even bigger implications elsewhere.

Chelsea players celebrate Willian's goal against Manchester City on June 24, 2020© Reuters

Had Chelsea lost that match then they would be heading into this contest fifth in the table, but as it is they still enjoy a two-point lead over Wolverhampton Wanderers with a game in hand over Nuno Espirito Santo's side.

Wolves and Manchester United are doing a good job of keeping the pressure on Chelsea, though, and Lampard will know that there is little margin for error any more in a top-four race which has been defined by inconsistency so far.

The Blues could, however, create another barrier of protection from the chasing pack should other results go their way this week, with Leicester City now just one point ahead of them in third place and Chelsea in far better form than the team they knocked out of the cup.

Chelsea will certainly be bigger favourites to beat West Ham than Leicester are to beat Everton, although the Hammers are approaching must-not-lose territory themselves.

David Moyes's side are still lingering on the right side of the dotted line when it comes to relegation, but only by virtue of having a goal difference two better than Bournemouth's and five better than Aston Villa's.

Tottenham Hotspur striker Harry Kane scores against West Ham on June 23, 2020© Reuters

Fortunately for West Ham their relegation rivals are also in poor form, but with things so tight at the bottom of the table the Londoners know that they will need to turn their own form around sooner rather than later.

West Ham have won just once in the Premier League in 11 games since New Year's Day, and this calendar year no team has lost more than their eight top-flight games - including five of their last six.

Moyes's side have not even scored since returning after lockdown, falling to back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Tottenham Hotspur, while another blank immediately before the break means that they are now in danger of going four Premier League games without finding the back of the net for the first time since October 2006.

Despite those grim statistics, West Ham's record at the London Stadium since Moyes took over is much improved - two wins and two defeats from five games so far this calendar year, having only picked up one point from their previous six home games.

However, over the course of the entire season only Southampton have amassed fewer points on home territory, and West Ham are unlikely to be able to rely on their away form either with seven successive league defeats on the road.

West Ham Premier League form: LLWLLL

Chelsea Premier League form: LWDWWW
Chelsea form (all competitions): DWWWWW


Team News

Christian Pulisic pictured scoring for Chelsea on June 25, 2020© Reuters

Chelsea could be without one of their star men since the restart, with Christian Pulisic being taken off against Leicester after feeling tightness in his calf.

The extent of the injury has not yet been determined, but with such a quick turnaround between fixtures Lampard is unlikely to take any risks over a muscle problem.

Callum Hudson-Odoi could be back to cover for the American having so far missed out due to an ankle injury, while Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Pedro provide other options in the front three.

Andreas Christensen missed out entirely at the weekend due to a hip problem which is not thought to be serious but will be assessed ahead of this match, while Fikayo Tomori is closing in on a return from his muscle problem.

Sunday's match-winner Ross Barkley will be hoping to have earned a starting role, while the likes of Cesar Azpilicueta, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Olivier Giroud and Marcos Alonso are pushing for inclusion in the XI too.

West Ham, meanwhile, will be without Robert Snodgrass due to a back injury, while Sebastien Haller remains a major doubt with a hip injury.

Arthur Masuaku will be assessed due to an ankle injury, but Moyes has no new injury concerns after last week's defeat to Tottenham.

Declan Rice is expected to start for the hosts against a team he has been strongly linked with joining this summer, and could come up against his good friend Mason Mount in midfield.

West Ham possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Fredericks, Ogbonna, Diop, Cresswell; Soucek, Rice; Fornals, Noble, Anderson; Antonio

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Kepa; Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Zouma, Alonso; Barkley, Kante, Kovacic; Willian, Giroud, Loftus-Cheek


Sports Mole Logo

We say: West Ham 1-2 Chelsea

Chelsea may have only won one of the last five meetings between these two sides, but the formbook points at there only being one result in this one.

Chelsea are enjoying one of their best runs of the season, whereas for West Ham it is difficult to see where the next win is coming from. They need one as soon as possible if they are to get themselves away from trouble, but it would be a surprise to see it come in this match.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a West Ham United win it was 2-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.


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Manchester City midfielder Kevin De Bruyne pictured on June 17, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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