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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Bergessio (73'), Ocampo (84')
Neves (63'), Bergessio (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quintana (60'), Mac Allister (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawArgentinos Juniors
36.13%24.93%38.93%
Both teams to score 57.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.74%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86%59.13%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99%57%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.13%
    Argentinos Juniors 38.93%
    Draw 24.93%
NacionalDrawArgentinos Juniors
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-1 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Nacional vs Argentinos Jrs

Nacional
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Argentinos Juniors
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Argentinos Jrs
2-0
Nacional
Avalos (25'), Herrera (88')
Gomez (15'), Moyano (36'), Quintana (41')
Quintana (81')

Candido (17'), D'Alessandro (35'), Corujo (45+3'), Bergessio (48'), Fernandez (75')
rhs 2.0
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