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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Catolica
0 - 2
Argentinos Jrs


Rebolledo (52'), Pablo Astaburuaga Montoya (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Florentin (23'), Hauche (51')
Florentin (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universidad Catolica and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.97%22.8%36.23%
Both teams to score 65.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.02%34.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04%56.95%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.36%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07%51.92%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 40.97%
    Argentinos Juniors 36.23%
    Draw 22.8%
Universidad CatolicaDrawArgentinos Juniors
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 6.08%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.89%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-1 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Catolica vs Argentinos Jrs

Universidad Catolica
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Argentinos Juniors
18.8%
16
rhs 2.0
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