Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza5 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Nacional Potosi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
73.19% ( 0.05) | 16.42% ( -0.03) | 10.38% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
