Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.